Tuesday, December 6, 2011

DRS and the Role of Technology in Cricket



The story so far...
The DecisionReview System (DRS) has captured the attention of everyone who has anything to do with cricket. From the administrators and players, to fans around the world, people have been discussing and debating the utility of DRS and accuracy of the technologies available.

The issue created headlines quite often through the summer. On a few occasions during India’s tour of England, Hot-Spot went cold. Before this series, Hot-Spot was considered 100% foolproof. It also had BCCI’s stamp of approval. However, it regularly failed to detect fine edges, and was later dumped for India’s home series.

Then we had the Phil Hughes’ LBW in Sri Lanka. Anyone who saw the incident could tell that the ball would have missed off stump. However, Hawk-Eye made a ‘tracking mistake’ and showed the ball to be hitting leg stump. Based on this erroneous Hawk-eye tracking, the batsman was adjudged Out. The matter was then referred to the ICC by the officiating umpires.

The Disagreement
The biggest point of contention here is the use of Hawk-eye, which not only tracks the ball’s actual trajectory until it hits the bat or pad, but also attempts to extrapolate the ball’s path after impact. The BCCI has maintained strong reservation about the accuracy of this Hawk-eye projection.

To complicate matters, the creators of Hawk-eye have confessed that the projection may be inaccurate beyond a distance of 2.5m. In other words, if the ball hits the batsman’s pad at a distance of over 2.5m from the stumps, Hawk-eye cannot accurately predict whether the ball was actually headed for the stumps.

Technology vs Umpires
Technology has been increasingly (and successfully) adopted in cricket for decision making and for an enhanced viewing experience. However, the ICC needs to define and articulate the precise role of technology in cricket. There needs to be a clear distinction between the role of the umpire and the role of technology. Should we use technology to assist the umpires, or should technology be allowed to take over?

While we all want umpiring decisions to be 100% accurate, if we allow technology to take over completely, then the on-field umpires will soon become redundant. Steve Waugh in his autobiography wrote that leg spinner Stuart MacGill once said to an umpire, “Your job is to hold my sweater and count to six.”

Does cricket want its umpires to be reduced to such menial existence? Thankfully, cricket lovers all across the world consider the umpires to be an integral part of the game.

Drawing the line
So, where do we draw the line between the role of technology and the role of the umpire? This, in my view can be laid down by adopting a simple philosophy. “Technology should provide factual evidence and the umpire will make the judgement.”

This statement has the potential to clear all confusion around the DRS. The key phrase here is “FACTUAL EVIDENCE” i.e. evidence of an event that has definitely happened.

If we look closely at all the moments when the (technology-aided) 3rd umpire is called for (stumpings, run-outs, doubtful catches, etc), we notice that, in all these cases, the cameras only show factual evidence. In the case of Hot-Spot, the evidence of an edge is factual, i.e. appearance of the hot spot suggests contact between the bat and ball. Based on this factual evidence, the 3rd umpire makes an Out/ Not-out judgement. The same philosophy should be applied to the use of Hawk-eye by the 3rd umpire.

The Way Forward
Let’s look closely at the proposed use of Hawk-eye for an LBW decision that has been referred to the 3rd umpire. From the moment the ball leaves the bowler’s hand till it hits the batsman’s pad, hawk-eye gives factual evidence of the ball’s trajectory, and its point of contact with the pitch and with the batsman (height and line of impact). This is where Hawk-eye must STOP.

Beyond this point of impact, the hawk-eye gets into prediction mode and extrapolates the path that the ball would have taken had the impact not occurred. This extrapolation goes beyond the limits of “factual evidence” and technology transgresses into the jurisdiction of the umpire. Based on factual evidence of the actual trajectory of the ball, point of impact, distance from the stumps, etc., it should now be the 3rd umpire’s role to adjudicate whether the ball would have hit the stumps, and whether the batsman should be adjudged LBW. 

An obvious counter-argument here would be: “How do we guarantee 100% accuracy from the umpires in such situations?” While 100% accuracy can never be guaranteed, the umpires can always be trained to make LBW decisions based on “factual evidence” provided by technology. Perhaps, umpires can make use Hawk-eye simulations to enhance their judgement of a ball’s trajectory. That is the ideal scenario – where technology will help umpires make better decisions. And both will live happily ever after.

2 comments:

Vamsi said...

Great Views Mojo,

My views on this are very simple. I agree with you that 100% perfection is never possible and that's a wrong argument which people have against technology... why have technology which is not 100% accurate. I will be quite happy if technology and DRS elminate absolute howlers from the game. You may not get 100% right decisions but a 100% elminantion of blatantly incorrect decisions would help the game quite a bit... Harbhajan LBW at Trent Bridge, Suresh Raina the other night, decsions like that , very cleary bad decsions but no aid provided to the umpire for making the correction

Regards
Vamsi

Qurioux said...

"That is the ideal scenario – where technology will help umpires make better decisions. And both will live happily ever after." Ah, if only idea scenario can translate to reality.

If I HawkEye must stop at the point of contact and does not extrapolate then it is as good as the slow motion replays already available which are used in line decisions like runs outs stumping no balls catches taken on the boundary etc.

And that is one reason BCCI has been opposing Hawk Eye: What it provides as factual evidence is already available from existing technologies. While what it brings new as extrapolation is, by self admission, not reliable beyond 2.5m. The BCCI contention is quite valid, IMO, considering how much more has to be spent to get how less.

Mixing up philosophy - belief is technology, technology is superior to human eye etc - is one thing and deriving benefits from it is another. When we look at the utility of use of technology, the cost/benefit factor does come into play. If the use of Hawk Eye is to be limited to the instances where point of contact being >2.5m then indeed HE is an expensive toy not affordable by cash strapped boards. Considering that the major source of ICC revenue is India, ICC funding the technology is translates to the Indian consumer paying for everyone else's use of a technology which has a very limited area of application.

In Milton Friedman's quadrants on spending psychology framework, this falls under spending one's money on others. One is satisfied with getting less value from that spending than if the value were accrue to oneself. Yet BCCI has exercised far more due diligence on this subject and hence deserves not to be bashed on this point. The root cause lies with technology deficiency. Improve it or bring alternate technology instead of harping on Hawk Eye.